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TOPAZ-1: What the Biliary Tract Cancer Trial Found

TOPAZ-1 added durvalumab to gemcitabine and cisplatin for advanced biliary tract cancer — the first phase 3 trial in more than a decade to improve on that chemotherapy. Two-year survival more than doubled, from a low base.

By Cancer Explained Editorial TeamPublished Updated

Original commentary from the Cancer Explained editorial team.

A scientist in blue gloves uses a pipette in a laboratory
A scientist in blue gloves uses a pipette in a laboratory — illustrative photograph, not of anyone named in this story.

Please note: this page is educational only — it is not medical advice, and it does not speculate about anyone’s health beyond reliable public reporting. For questions about your own health, talk with your healthcare team.

Ten years without a better first treatment

Biliary tract cancer covers the bile ducts inside and outside the liver, and the gallbladder. It is uncommon, it is usually found late, and the outlook is poor.

The first treatment for advanced disease had been gemcitabine plus cisplatin for more than ten years. Not because it works well, but because nothing had beaten it. TOPAZ-1 is the phase 3 trial that finally did.

How the trial was run

FieldDetail
TrialTOPAZ-1
IdentifierNCT03875235
PhasePhase 3
DesignRandomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled
Cancer typePreviously untreated unresectable, metastatic or recurrent biliary tract cancer
ComparatorDurvalumab or placebo, with gemcitabine and cisplatin for up to eight cycles, then durvalumab or placebo alone
Primary objectiveOverall survival

685 people were randomised: 341 to durvalumab and 344 to placebo. After the chemotherapy phase, the immune drug or the placebo continued on its own until the cancer progressed or the side effects became unacceptable.

The survival result

By the data cutoff, 198 of the 341 people in the durvalumab group had died (58.1%), against 226 of 344 on placebo (65.7%).

The hazard ratio for death was 0.80 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.97, p=0.021) — about a 20% lower risk of dying at any given moment.

Progression-free survival also improved, with a hazard ratio of 0.75 (95% CI 0.63 to 0.89, p=0.001). Tumours shrank in 26.7% of the durvalumab group and 18.7% on placebo.

Two-year survival, and what it hints at

The figure that drew attention was survival at 24 months: an estimated 24.9% with durvalumab (95% CI 17.9 to 32.5) against 10.4% on placebo (95% CI 4.7 to 18.8).

More than double, in relative terms. Under a quarter, in absolute terms. Both readings are true and both matter.

Note also how wide those confidence intervals are — the placebo estimate runs from under 5% to nearly 19%. Few people remained in the analysis by that point, so the two-year figures are less certain than the hazard ratio.

The shape of that gap is the interesting part. A modest hazard ratio combined with a large difference at two years is the pattern you see when a minority of people get a long-lasting benefit rather than everyone getting a small one.

The side effects did not get gentler

Severe side effects — grade 3 or 4 — occurred in 75.7% of the durvalumab group and 77.8% of the placebo group.

Adding the immune drug did not make treatment harder to tolerate. Nor did it make it easier. Three-quarters of people in both arms had a severe event, which is a fact about gemcitabine and cisplatin, not about durvalumab.

What this does not mean

  • It does not mean the outlook is now good. Fewer than a quarter of people were alive at two years even with the better regimen.
  • It does not identify who benefits. The report does not name a test that predicts who gets the durable benefit hinted at by the two-year figures.
  • The published report does not give a median survival figure, so none is quoted here.
  • It says nothing about earlier-stage biliary tract cancer, or about people who have already had treatment. Everyone here was untreated with inoperable, metastatic or recurrent disease.

Questions at a biliary tract cancer diagnosis

  • Where exactly is the cancer — bile duct, gallbladder, inside or outside the liver?
  • Has my tumour been tested for changes that other targeted drugs act on?
  • If chemotherapy is this demanding, what would make us stop or pause?

Sources

This article was written from the sources below, which were checked on the source-check date shown above.

How this article was prepared

Prepared by Cancer Explained's AI-assisted editorial system and checked against the sources listed below. This article has not been reviewed by a healthcare professional unless a named reviewer is specifically shown.

Cancer Explained is published by the National Cancer Information Foundation as a nonprofit-oriented public-interest education project. It is not a diagnostic service, does not recommend treatments, and is not for emergencies.

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Prevention, possible warning signs, screening, and diagnosis

This story relates to Biliary tract cancer. The information below is general: it does not reveal anything else about a public person’s health, and not every point applies to every cancer. Personal advice depends on age, symptoms, family history, exposures, and medical history.

  • Prevention and risk reduction

    Not every cancer can be prevented. Avoiding tobacco, protecting skin from ultraviolet radiation, limiting alcohol, staying active, and receiving recommended HPV or hepatitis B vaccination can lower the risk of certain cancers. A risk factor is not a prediction or a cause in one individual.

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  • Symptoms and possible early signs

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  • Screening and early detection

    Screening looks for certain cancers before symptoms begin. Recommended tests exist only for some cancers and depend on age and risk. Screening can have benefits and harms; it is not the same as evaluating a new symptom, and there is no single routine scan or blood test that reliably screens for every cancer.

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  • How cancer is diagnosed

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